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2024-12-14 12:40:23

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Guosheng Financial Holdings hit the daily limit in the afternoon and staged the "Earth Sky Board". The turnover exceeded 3.5 billion yuan, and the stock price approached an all-time high.CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.


Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week.Pakistan KSE-100 index opened up 0.3% to 114,767.90.Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.


In 2024, the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China was 4.488 billion yuan, up 55.13% year-on-year. On December 12th, Tang Jiajun, deputy secretary-general of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and secretary-general of the Game Working Committee, released the Report on the Survey of the Global Console Game Market in 2024 and the Report on the Protection of Minors in China Game Industry in 2024, which pointed out that the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China in 2024 reached 4.488 billion yuan, up 55% year-on-year. In 2024, the number of console game users in China reached 11,546,300, up 14.05% year-on-year. The launch of the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" has greatly increased the market size, user size and even the sales of host equipment in China, and promoted the development of the host game market in China.German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)According to sources, Keppel and Sovico Group are discussing submarine cables between Singapore and Vietnam.

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